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Exotics avaliaçãos
Qualidade em um dia bom: 3.0
Consistência do surf: 1.0
Nível de dificuldade: 4.0
Multidões: 4.0

Overall: 3.3

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Surf Report Feed

Exotics Swell Statistics, Winter: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Exotics that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere winter and is based upon 6931 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell occurs.

The diagram suggests that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was W, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 7% of the time, equivalent to 6 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only happen 0.8% of the time in a typical northern hemisphere winter, equivalent to just one day but 3% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Exotics is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Exotics about 7% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 11% of the time. This is means that we expect 16 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere winter, of which 6 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.