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Exotics avaliaçãos
Qualidade em um dia bom: 3.0
Consistência do surf: 1.0
Nível de dificuldade: 4.0
Multidões: 4.0

Overall: 3.3

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Surf Report Feed

Exotics Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Exotics that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical northern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 7252 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the NW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 6% of the time, equivalent to 5 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere autumn but 1.8% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 1.8%, equivalent to (2 days). Taking into account the proportion of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Exotics is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at Exotics about 6% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 23% of the time. This is means that we expect 26 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 5 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.