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Arenillas Negras avaliaçãos
Qualidade em um dia bom: 3.0
Consistência do surf: 2.0
Nível de dificuldade: 3.0
Multidões: 4.0

Overall: 3.2

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Surf Report Feed

Arenillas Negras Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Arenillas Negras that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 8052 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In both graphs, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the longest spokes, was SW, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SSW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 15% of the time, equivalent to 14 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal southern hemisphere autumn but 6% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 6%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that Arenillas Negras is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Arenillas Negras about 15% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 85% of the time. This is means that we expect 91 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 14 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.